000ABNT20 KNHC 302317TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.$$Forecaster Pasch

No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 31 Jul 2026 03:22:49 GMT

542 ABPZ20 KNHC 302303TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 PM PDT Thu Jul 30 2026For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Genevieve, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.$$Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Tropical Storm Tropical

• Summary for Tropical Storm Genevieve (EP2/EP072026)
  ...GENEVIEVE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... As of 5:00 PM HST Thu Jul 30 the center of Genevieve was located near 21.3, -126.0 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

Tropical Storm Genevieve

• Tropical Storm Genevieve Public Advisory Number 28
  Issued at 500 PM HST Thu Jul 30 2026 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 310247 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026 500 PM HST Thu Jul 30 2026 ...GENEVIEVE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 126.0W ABOUT 1035 MI...1665 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 126.0 West. Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue during the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Genevieve is expected to become post-tropical late this weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells will persist for the next several days, and are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Katz/Pasch]]>
• Tropical Storm Genevieve Forecast Advisory Number 28
  Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 31 2026 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 310246 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026 0300 UTC FRI JUL 31 2026 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 126.0W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. 4 M SEAS....210NE 120SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 126.0W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 125.5W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.8N 128.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N 130.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.3N 133.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.1N 136.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.0N 139.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.1N 141.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 28.4N 144.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 31.7N 146.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 126.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH]]>
• Tropical Storm Genevieve Forecast Discussion Number 28
  Issued at 500 PM HST Thu Jul 30 2026 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 310248 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Genevieve Discussion Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026 500 PM HST Thu Jul 30 2026 Genevieve is now a tropical storm, and the cyclone remains on a weakening trend. Visible and infrared satellite imagery shows that the convection in the inner core continues to degrade. Water vapor imagery also shows that some dry air has made progress into the inner core of the storm as well. In addition, the objective intensity estimates continue to trend downward, in the range of 50-65 kt. The most recent current intensity estimate from TAFB is 4.0/65 kt but the T-number has decreased to 3.5/55 kt. Based on the downward trend presented by both the satellite imagery and the various subjective and objective estimates, the advisory intensity is reduced to 60 kt. Genevieve continues to move along a west-northwestward heading today, guided by a strengthening ridge to the north. This general motion will prevail over the next 72 h or so. By early next week, a strong upper-level trough will advance toward the western U.S. and evolve into a cutoff low, steering Genevieve toward the northwest then north-northwest. Only slight adjustments have been made to the track based on the latest guidance and the position of the storm at this time. The track forecast continues to be in good agreement with the consensus of the guidance. The tropical storm has moved into cooler waters and is experiencing dry mid-level air and less favorable upper-level winds. These factors will lead to further steady weakening over the next several days. Global model guidance suggests that Genevieve may struggle to produce organized deep convection this weekend, and the forecast calls for the system to become post-tropical by 72 h, and a remnant low early next week. The new forecast intensity remains very similar to the previous advisory, and is near the middle of the consensus guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/0300Z 21.3N 126.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 31/1200Z 21.8N 128.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 01/0000Z 22.5N 130.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 01/1200Z 23.3N 133.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 02/0000Z 24.1N 136.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 02/1200Z 25.0N 139.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 03/0000Z 26.1N 141.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 96H 04/0000Z 28.4N 144.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 05/0000Z 31.7N 146.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Katz/Pasch]]>
• Tropical Storm Genevieve Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28
  Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 31 2026 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 310247 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026 0300 UTC FRI JUL 31 2026 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 125W 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) 25N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) 25N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 30N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) $$ FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH]]>
• Tropical Storm Genevieve Graphics
  
  
  Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 31 Jul 2026 03:22:34 GMT ]]>