000ABNT20 KNHC 100508TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 AM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.$$Forecaster Katz/Reinhart

No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 10 Sep 2026 08:32:05 GMT

428 ABPZ20 KNHC 100519TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 9 2026For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Lowell, located well northwest of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.Well South-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located well to the south-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible late this week and into the weekend while it moves generally northward and then meanders to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.Central Portion and West Portion of the East Pacific:An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula this weekend. Gradual development of this system is expected thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while it moves generally westward over central and western portions of the East Pacific.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.&&Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.$$Forecaster Reinhart

Tropical Depression Tropical

• Summary for Tropical Depression Fourteen-E (EP4/EP142026)
  ...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 the center of Fourteen-E was located near 16.4, -116.6 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression Fourteen-E

• Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Public Advisory Number 2
  Issued at 800 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 100233 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142026 800 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026 ...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.4N 116.6W ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen-E was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 116.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph, and a generally westward motion is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch]]>
• Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
  Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2026 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 100233 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142026 0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2026 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 116.6W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 116.6W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 116.1W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.7N 118.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.8N 121.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 10SE 10SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.8N 123.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 10SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.7N 126.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.0N 128.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.4N 129.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 18.0N 133.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 18.1N 136.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 116.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH]]>
• Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
  Issued at 800 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026 722 WTPZ44 KNHC 100233 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142026 800 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026 There has been no significant increase in the overall organization of the tropical cyclone over the past several hours. The system is producing vigorous deep convection well east of the estimated center location with cloud tops to -80 deg C or colder. These heavy showers and thunderstorms are not very well organized with little evidence of convective banding at this time. There is some westerly shear over the depression since the low-level center is near the western edge of the main cloud mass. Given that the system has not become much better organized since the previous advisory, the intensity is held at 30 kt for now. This is just a little below the subjective Dvorak estimate. The center appears to have reformed in the low-level vorticity maximum on the northern side of the broad circulation, and is a little to the north of the previous track. A mid-tropospheric ridge should prevail to the north of the system for the next several days, which should keep the cyclone moving on a generally westward track. Late in the forecast period, the ridge shifts westward and builds a little. This could result in a gradual turn to the left around day 5. The official forecast is a little north of the previous NHC track and is close to the latest corrected consensus, HCCA, guidance. The system is expected to be in a reasonably conductive environment for intensification in a few days. However, the current westerly shear could be an impediment to short-term strengthening. Also, some arc clouds have been seen emanating from the cyclone on visible satellite imagery, which is usually indicative of the presence of some dry mid-level air. However, these negative factors are expected to be short-lived, and the system is forecast to strengthen and eventually become a hurricane. The official intensity forecast is similar to the simple and corrected consensus intensity model predictions and is the same as in the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/0300Z 16.4N 116.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 10/1200Z 16.7N 118.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 11/0000Z 16.8N 121.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 11/1200Z 16.8N 123.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 12/0000Z 16.7N 126.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 60H 12/1200Z 17.0N 128.3W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 13/0000Z 17.4N 129.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 14/0000Z 18.0N 133.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 15/0000Z 18.1N 136.8W 75 KT 85 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch]]>
• Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
  Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2026 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 100233 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142026 0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2026 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 19(33) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) $$ FORECASTER PASCH]]>
• Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Graphics
  
  
  Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 10 Sep 2026 03:28:34 GMT ]]>